Friday, 8 May 2009

Payoff Wizard

I know I'm beat but I just can't click the fold button...

Stacks:
UTG
($200.80)
UTG+1
($299.40)
Hero (CO)
($400.00)
BTN
($107.35)
SB
($181.20)
BB
($178.75)

Pre-flop: ($3, 6 players) Hero is CO

1 fold, UTG+1 raises to $7, Hero calls $7, BTN calls $7, 2 folds

Flop: ($24, 3 players)
UTG+1 bets $17, Hero calls $17, BTN folds

Turn: ($58, 2 players)
UTG+1 bets $48, Hero calls $48

River: ($154, 2 players)
UTG+1 bets $120...

He never has a boat, ever. But he's also never vbetting anything worse than my hand. But he's a LAG so he triple barrel bluffs 4flush paired boards, right?

Hero calls $120


Final Pot: $394
UTG+1 shows:


Sigh...

4 comments:

John said...

How can he not have a boat here? It's quite standard to bet the flop with a set and check-calling with a set on the 4-flush turn is sick bad. He has no evidence that you have a high flush card so betting the turn again is the lesser of all evils. He has outs if he's beat and isn't shoved on, he retains control of the hand and he stands a reasonable chance of getting you to relucta-fold any low/mid heart that you might have picked up (i.e. he has some bluff value). At the river its super standard to fire a strong bet now that he's boated up.

I think you are making a pretty crucial hand reading error if you assume that he never has a boat simply because he elected to bet the turn when a 4-flush hit. Insta-giving up a strong hand just because the board got scary is a leak.

Bazclef said...

I knew putting "ever" in was a stretch, but I don't think he has a boat much.

BurnleyMik said...

Hey Baz,

Can you link me up plz mate. got a blog back up and running.

Cheers

BurnleyMik
http://donkeythrasher.blogspot.com/

p.s. I loved reading the Thiland Adventures, must have been awesome.

BurnleyMik said...

thanks mate. :-)